paradox404
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Interesting, been crunching the numbers, not finished yet but this is really interesting. (I'll probably finish this tomorrow though)
The years with the non-timelocked divergence events seem to have sharp increases in divergence values...
According to the data on the johntitorfoundation web page the C204 seems to be most accurate around 30yrs out. These are from a perspective looking back, ie away from the point of reference.
These are based off john 2's numbers:
1998-1999 = +0.020%
1999 - 2000 = +0.486%
2000 - 2009 = +0.0063% p/y
2009 - 2036 = +0.07188888% p/y
Based on that math and the 2009 value, a rough guess using a linear increase would state his divergence would be around 1.50966672% in 2016. That said, I would have to, again, work out what the curve is to give an accurate guess.
The years with the non-timelocked divergence events seem to have sharp increases in divergence values...
According to the data on the johntitorfoundation web page the C204 seems to be most accurate around 30yrs out. These are from a perspective looking back, ie away from the point of reference.
These are based off john 2's numbers:
1998-1999 = +0.020%
1999 - 2000 = +0.486%
2000 - 2009 = +0.0063% p/y
2009 - 2036 = +0.07188888% p/y
Based on that math and the 2009 value, a rough guess using a linear increase would state his divergence would be around 1.50966672% in 2016. That said, I would have to, again, work out what the curve is to give an accurate guess.
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