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<blockquote data-quote="Kairos" data-source="post: 184587" data-attributes="member: 10263"><p>Going back to the bucket experiment, a sample of the marbles is definitely <em>not </em>evidence of absence. It can only be said, and this is if you know how many marbles are in the bucket, that your confidence there exist no red marbles increases with each fresh sample.</p><p></p><p>Not finding a red marble in a random sample is certainly not evidence there exist no red marbles. The only fact you have is that you failed to discover a red marble. It is only when you manage to examine 98-100% of the marbles that you can start making scientific assumptions about the existence of a red marble in the bucket.</p><p></p><p>And that is where your slogan fails reason. You have no idea how many "marbles are in the bucket" where it comes to these kinds of phenomenon. It's fine to not believe in something and to take a side. What's irrational is to claim something does not exist because nobody has shown you strict proof thereof. Of all the things we discovered in the universe, they didn't just spring into being as soon as we observed the phenomenon. LOL. <em>Absence of evidence is evidence of absence</em> is a<strong> fallacy</strong>. Self-evidently so.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Kairos, post: 184587, member: 10263"] Going back to the bucket experiment, a sample of the marbles is definitely [I]not [/I]evidence of absence. It can only be said, and this is if you know how many marbles are in the bucket, that your confidence there exist no red marbles increases with each fresh sample. Not finding a red marble in a random sample is certainly not evidence there exist no red marbles. The only fact you have is that you failed to discover a red marble. It is only when you manage to examine 98-100% of the marbles that you can start making scientific assumptions about the existence of a red marble in the bucket. And that is where your slogan fails reason. You have no idea how many "marbles are in the bucket" where it comes to these kinds of phenomenon. It's fine to not believe in something and to take a side. What's irrational is to claim something does not exist because nobody has shown you strict proof thereof. Of all the things we discovered in the universe, they didn't just spring into being as soon as we observed the phenomenon. LOL. [I]Absence of evidence is evidence of absence[/I] is a[B] fallacy[/B]. Self-evidently so. [/QUOTE]
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