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Time travelers posting online: Are they all fake?
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<blockquote data-quote="Phoenix" data-source="post: 91719" data-attributes="member: 10"><p>The old "time traveler" that was used as an example for that was using a science website that made predictions of based on past and present seismic activity. It was an earthquake in Japan or Singapore if memory serves me right. I think he was in a few decimal places of the Richter scale I think he was also within a few minutes of the quake. </p><p></p><p>So he wasn't using psychic abilities only. But if you want it as a "fun game" to ease the tensions. I think it would be interesting. See how close people get within time long,lat distance from epicenter and richter scale. From that we could use the data to find average error, standard deviation of that error. From that we could test the hypothesis if it is within the realm of chance, 95% confidence level, for people to just be lucky and guess a correct earthquake. We could also compare standard deviations between people and see if there is statistically significant differences between peoples predictive ability. I would suggest using Einstein's original 24 hour rule. Hmm I would say going to the second on time three digits on the latitude and longitude, tenth place on richter scale, and km in depth. </p><p></p><p>I suspect we will begin to do better over time but hit a plateau. Who knows maybe some will start becoming psychic in their everyday life from the practice. <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite39" alt=";)" title="Wink ;)" loading="lazy" data-shortname=";)" /></p><p></p><p>Here is a website we can use to check our predictions against.</p><p></p><p><a href="http://earthquake.usgs.gov/" target="_blank">Earthquake Hazards Program</a></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Phoenix, post: 91719, member: 10"] The old "time traveler" that was used as an example for that was using a science website that made predictions of based on past and present seismic activity. It was an earthquake in Japan or Singapore if memory serves me right. I think he was in a few decimal places of the Richter scale I think he was also within a few minutes of the quake. So he wasn't using psychic abilities only. But if you want it as a "fun game" to ease the tensions. I think it would be interesting. See how close people get within time long,lat distance from epicenter and richter scale. From that we could use the data to find average error, standard deviation of that error. From that we could test the hypothesis if it is within the realm of chance, 95% confidence level, for people to just be lucky and guess a correct earthquake. We could also compare standard deviations between people and see if there is statistically significant differences between peoples predictive ability. I would suggest using Einstein's original 24 hour rule. Hmm I would say going to the second on time three digits on the latitude and longitude, tenth place on richter scale, and km in depth. I suspect we will begin to do better over time but hit a plateau. Who knows maybe some will start becoming psychic in their everyday life from the practice. ;) Here is a website we can use to check our predictions against. [url="http://earthquake.usgs.gov/"]Earthquake Hazards Program[/url] [/QUOTE]
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Time travelers posting online: Are they all fake?
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