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John Titor's Legacy
The war has started
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<blockquote data-quote="Yeats" data-source="post: 199690" data-attributes="member: 12720"><p>Consider, though. If I predict that a certain event will occur within the hour and it happens, then that would be quite an achievement. But if I say that the event will occur within 10 years, then if the event happens then my prediction becomes <em>less</em> noteworthy because of the increased number of possible events that could happen within that period of time. Now, if I say that an event will happen "someday", it cannot be falsified at all.</p><p></p><p>Also, if I were to have said (as Nostradamus did) that a King of Terror will come from the skies and bring havoc in July of 1999 and then claim (as the followers of Nostradamus did) that the prediction was fulfilled in September of 2001, would you say that my prediction was accurate? Do I get credit for being "close enough"?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Yeats, post: 199690, member: 12720"] Consider, though. If I predict that a certain event will occur within the hour and it happens, then that would be quite an achievement. But if I say that the event will occur within 10 years, then if the event happens then my prediction becomes [I]less[/I] noteworthy because of the increased number of possible events that could happen within that period of time. Now, if I say that an event will happen "someday", it cannot be falsified at all. Also, if I were to have said (as Nostradamus did) that a King of Terror will come from the skies and bring havoc in July of 1999 and then claim (as the followers of Nostradamus did) that the prediction was fulfilled in September of 2001, would you say that my prediction was accurate? Do I get credit for being "close enough"? [/QUOTE]
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