paradox404
Active Member
- Messages
- 713
Hmm...
The curve wasn't exactly what I expected it to be. Nor is the expected divergence value...
If my math is correct, our current divergence value is 1.88370111085%, and if unchanged in 2036 it will be 1.72523763084%. It seems that divergence points have a potential divergence number, indicating that there is a great deal of uncertainty that causes a sharp rise in divergence.
If there are no major divergence/convergence events and the convergence occurs at the same rate, john's and this worldline would converge in the year 2252.
To demonstrate what I mean, here is a screenshot: (I used openoffice to map the values.)
EDIT: Added year numbers to show what I mean better
The numbers: (I ended up doing these by hand because the program didn't want to give me an accurate output on the second john's data)
_______________________________________________
29 July 1998:
John 1 = 2.50339366515%
John 2 = 2.50000000000%
Reference Point: 2.50169683257%
Reference Range: 2.49660633485% - 2.5067873303%
Days: 0
_______________________________________________
12 Oct 1998:
John 1 = 2.50000000000%
John 2 = 2.49953051644%
Reference Point: 2.49976525822%
Reference Range: 2.49929577466% - 2.50023474178%
Days: 440
_______________________________________________
29 Oct 1998:
John 1 = 2.500769230769231%
John 2 = 2.500000000000000%
Variance: 0.000769230769231
Reference Point: 2.50038461538%
Reference Range: 2.49961538462 - 2.50115384614 %
Days: 457
_______________________________________________
1999 Dec 28:
John 1: 2.480%
John 2: 2.490%
Reference Point: 2.485%
Reference Range: 2.475% - 2.495%
Days: 517
_______________________________________________
12 Oct 2000:
John 1: 2.005%
John 2: 2.006081448%
Variance: 0.002081448%
Reference Point: 2.005540724%
Days: 806
_______________________________________________
27 Nov 2000:
John 1: 2.0671319648%
John 2: 2.004%
Reference Point: 2.0355659824%
Days: 852
_-______________________________________________
02 Jan 2001:
John 1: 2.004%
John 2: 2.00434146341%
5.294467561e-06
Reference Point: 2.004170731705%
Days: 888
________________________________________________
31 Jan 2001:
John 1: 2.00414824509%
John 2: 2.004%
Reference Point: 2.00474122545%
Days: 917
________________________________________________
21 Mar 2009:
John 1: 1.941%
John 2: 1.94384416021
Reference Point: 1.94242208011%
Days: 3888
________________________________________________
29 Jul 2009:
John 1: 1.93815583979%
John 2: 1.941
Reference Point: 1.9395779199%
Days: 4018
________________________________________________
For today's divergence I used the 2001-2009 difference to get a 2.18781554615e-05 per day divergence and multiplied it by 2619 days. As for 2036, I did the same thing just times 9862.
The curve wasn't exactly what I expected it to be. Nor is the expected divergence value...
If my math is correct, our current divergence value is 1.88370111085%, and if unchanged in 2036 it will be 1.72523763084%. It seems that divergence points have a potential divergence number, indicating that there is a great deal of uncertainty that causes a sharp rise in divergence.
If there are no major divergence/convergence events and the convergence occurs at the same rate, john's and this worldline would converge in the year 2252.
To demonstrate what I mean, here is a screenshot: (I used openoffice to map the values.)
EDIT: Added year numbers to show what I mean better
The numbers: (I ended up doing these by hand because the program didn't want to give me an accurate output on the second john's data)
_______________________________________________
29 July 1998:
John 1 = 2.50339366515%
John 2 = 2.50000000000%
Reference Point: 2.50169683257%
Reference Range: 2.49660633485% - 2.5067873303%
Days: 0
_______________________________________________
12 Oct 1998:
John 1 = 2.50000000000%
John 2 = 2.49953051644%
Reference Point: 2.49976525822%
Reference Range: 2.49929577466% - 2.50023474178%
Days: 440
_______________________________________________
29 Oct 1998:
John 1 = 2.500769230769231%
John 2 = 2.500000000000000%
Variance: 0.000769230769231
Reference Point: 2.50038461538%
Reference Range: 2.49961538462 - 2.50115384614 %
Days: 457
_______________________________________________
1999 Dec 28:
John 1: 2.480%
John 2: 2.490%
Reference Point: 2.485%
Reference Range: 2.475% - 2.495%
Days: 517
_______________________________________________
12 Oct 2000:
John 1: 2.005%
John 2: 2.006081448%
Variance: 0.002081448%
Reference Point: 2.005540724%
Days: 806
_______________________________________________
27 Nov 2000:
John 1: 2.0671319648%
John 2: 2.004%
Reference Point: 2.0355659824%
Days: 852
_-______________________________________________
02 Jan 2001:
John 1: 2.004%
John 2: 2.00434146341%
5.294467561e-06
Reference Point: 2.004170731705%
Days: 888
________________________________________________
31 Jan 2001:
John 1: 2.00414824509%
John 2: 2.004%
Reference Point: 2.00474122545%
Days: 917
________________________________________________
21 Mar 2009:
John 1: 1.941%
John 2: 1.94384416021
Reference Point: 1.94242208011%
Days: 3888
________________________________________________
29 Jul 2009:
John 1: 1.93815583979%
John 2: 1.941
Reference Point: 1.9395779199%
Days: 4018
________________________________________________
For today's divergence I used the 2001-2009 difference to get a 2.18781554615e-05 per day divergence and multiplied it by 2619 days. As for 2036, I did the same thing just times 9862.
Last edited: