Titor's 2001 Predictions Compared to 2011 Curent Time

titorite

Senior Member
Messages
1,974
For a 1 megaton device you'll have less than a 50% chance of survival up to 200 miles from ground zero.

http://www.nationalterroralert.com/nuclear/

1 Megaton Surface Blast: Fallout


300 Rem
Distance: 160 miles
Causes extensive internal damage, including harm to nerve cells and the cells that line the digestive tract, and results in a loss of white blood cells. Temporary hair loss is another result.

90 Rem
Distance: 250 miles
Causes a temporary decrease in white blood cells, although there are no immediate harmful effects. Two to three years will need to pass before radioactivity levels in this area drop low enough to be considered safe, by U.S. peacetime standards
 

DarbyII

Junior Member
Messages
53
http://www.nationalterroralert.com/nuclear/

300 Rem
Distance: 160 miles
Causes extensive internal damage, including harm to nerve cells and the cells that line the digestive tract, and results in a loss of white blood cells. Temporary hair loss is another result.

You left out ..."half of the people exposed to radiation at this level (300 rem) will die if they receive no medical attention."

And this assumes a single device, not an all-out nuclear strike against every major city of Earth. We're not debating the NRC standards. The debate concerns the scenario as posed by Titor. It's a bit disingenuous, in the above quote about a 300 rem exposure, to leave out that that specific dose is LD-50 if not treated. Who do you suppose is going to treat the victims immediately following an all-out nuclear strike? Battlefield triage, assuming any medical professionals familiar with radiation exposure treatment are out in the farmlands and are healthy enough to treat anyone, would by-pass areas exposed to 300 rem. LD-50 means "lethal does ro 50% of the population" (I believe that I said something about that in the original post). And again, it presupposes only one device.

Our boy lives 45 miles from Indianapolis, 125 miles from Cincinnati and 200 miles from both Chicago and St. Louis. There's actually 4 major cities rather than 3.
 

titorite

Senior Member
Messages
1,974
Nice moving of the bar there in regards of upping three to four. Regardless , if you don't like the data quoted complain to the government or your mom because I got 99 problems but your idiocy ain't one of them.
 

HDRKID

Senior Member
Messages
2,583
To Darby:

OK you say "You've planned for the wrong emergency."

John Titor said that more people die of starvation than radiation - so that is for what I prepare.

((How do most people die during the war? Radiation, starvation? bullet wounds?))

Correct . . . but in this order: Starvation - Disease - Bullet Wounds - Radiation.

Please remember about Fukushima and the radioactive rice.
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-202_162-57326700/japan-finds-radioactive-rice-bans-shipment/
 

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